In the world of mixed martial arts, few things are as compelling as a fresh match-up between two rising stars or established champions. That’s exactly what we have in store with the upcoming bout between Jack Della Maddalena (JDM) and the reigning lightweight champion, Islam Makhachev. While Makhachev’s dominance in the division has made him a clear favorite for most fans and analysts, Don’t underestimate Jack Della Maddalena. Here’s why JDM might just be the toughest challenge of Makhachev’s career to date.

The Makhachev Dynasty: Grit, Grappling, and Control

Islam Makhachev’s rise to the top of the lightweight division has been nothing short of spectacular. A student of the great Khabib Nurmagomedov, Makhachev has demonstrated an unparalleled level of control and dominance in the octagon. His grappling game is world-class, and his ability to suffocate opponents with relentless pressure, combined with excellent striking and fight IQ, makes him an extremely dangerous champion.

Makhachev’s ground game is his primary weapon. Once he closes the distance, he has an exceptional ability to control his opponents on the mat, smothering them with pressure and working for submissions or ground-and-pound. He’s incredibly difficult to shake off once he’s on top, and his cardio allows him to keep that pressure on throughout the fight.

However, like all champions, Makhachev has his weaknesses. His stand-up game, while effective, is not as flashy as some of his peers. And while he’s very well-rounded, his striking defense—though good—has occasionally shown cracks against skilled strikers. This is where Jack Della Maddalena could find his opportunity.

Jack Della Maddalena: The Silent Threat

On paper, Jack Della Maddalena might not have the same intimidating presence as Makhachev, but his fighting style is a puzzle Makhachev hasn’t yet had to solve. The Australian welterweight has a sleek and efficient striking game that has earned him an undefeated record in the UFC so far. With a series of devastating knockouts, JDM’s fast hands and pinpoint accuracy make him one of the most dangerous strikers in the division.

But what sets Della Maddalena apart from other strikers is his extremely high fight IQ. He’s not just a power puncher; he’s a tactician who understands how to control the pace of a fight and counter his opponent’s movements. Against someone like Makhachev, who often dictates where the fight takes place, JDM’s ability to stay composed and counter on the feet could cause big problems.

Key Factors for JDM’s Success

Striking Precision & Timing:
Makhachev has shown vulnerabilities to strikes, particularly from opponents who can close the distance quickly and catch him off guard. Della Maddalena’s timing is exceptional, and if he can land clean, precise shots early, he could shake Makhachev’s confidence and force him to fight on the back foot.

Avoiding the Takedown:
Makhachev is known for his ability to close the distance and transition into clinches or takedowns. The key for JDM will be keeping the fight standing and avoiding the smothering wrestling game that Makhachev brings. JDM’s takedown defense has been solid in previous bouts, but facing a world-class wrestler like Makhachev is a whole new challenge. If he can keep the fight on the feet, he has a much better chance of landing his strikes.

Cardio and Movement:
Makhachev’s pressure and ability to grind out fights can wear down even the toughest opponents. Della Maddalena will need to stay light on his feet and make sure his cardio is up to the task. The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Makhachev’s style of grinding. JDM will need to dictate the tempo and avoid the kind of prolonged clinch and ground exchanges that could drain his energy.

Adaptability:
Makhachev has a clear game plan that involves dominating his opponent from start to finish, often with little deviation. Della Maddalena, on the other hand, is a much more fluid and adaptable fighter, which could be his ace in the hole. If he can adjust on the fly and exploit any openings Makhachev gives him, it could be a game-changer.

The X-Factor: Mental Toughness

One thing that often gets overlooked in analyzing fighters is mental toughness. Makhachev has shown a steely demeanor under pressure, but he hasn’t faced a fighter like Della Maddalena—someone who can keep his cool, deliver under pressure, and rise to the occasion when needed.

JDM has a calmness in the octagon that suggests he’s unfazed by the bright lights. He doesn’t let the stakes overwhelm him, and this could be crucial in a high-stakes battle against Makhachev. The ability to weather the storm when Makhachev looks to dominate in the first few rounds could be the difference maker.

The Verdict: Can JDM Pull Off the Upset?

While Makhachev is the clear favorite going into this fight, Jack Della Maddalena has the skills and the mindset to make it incredibly competitive. His striking is elite, and his adaptability may provide him with the tools needed to neutralize Makhachev’s grappling-heavy approach.

The big question is whether JDM can stay off the ground long enough to land his devastating punches and keep Makhachev guessing. If he does, he may just have the knockout power to take the fight out of Makhachev’s hands. And if the fight ends up in a striking exchange, Della Maddalena’s precision could be a game-changer.

Don’t let the odds fool you. Jack Della Maddalena is a threat, and while Makhachev is a dominant champion, he’s far from invincible.

This fight is shaping up to be an all-time classic, and MMA fans should not sleep on the incredible potential for an upset.